Cerro Porteno 1-1 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.51
Over
39%
2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.07
No
59%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.22
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
17%
5.59
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
16%
5.32
X/2
15%
5.23
X/X
14%
3.52
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.08
2/X
4%
14.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense The Market 38%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.49 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.00
2.52 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.00
Great Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Bad Defensevs comparable teams
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.05.2005 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense LKU
20.05.2005 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-1
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.16 xG 2.27
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
178 Passes 285
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Cerro Porteno vs Atletico Paranaense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cerro Porteno and Atletico Paranaense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (61%) came in, no to both teams scoring (59%) didn't.

Under the surface, Cerro Porteno had 42% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 58%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.16 to 2.27.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.50 for Atletico Paranaense.

Cerro Porteno vs Atletico Paranaense Result & Final Score

Cerro Porteno 1-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Copa Sudamericana on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cerro Porteno vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 39%, draw 27%, Atletico Paranaense 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CSA More Copa Sudamericana
19 Jul 2024
01:00 Palestino vs Cuiaba Analysis →
03:30 LDU Quito vs Always Ready Analysis →