Hvidovre 1-0 HB Koge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 19 Jul 2024

Hvidovre
1-0 HT 0-0
HB Koge
📅19/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Hvidovre vs HB Koge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.39
2-3 Goals
37%
2.12
4-5 Goals
30%
2.52
6+ Goals
10%
5.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.53
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.05
X/1
24%
3.72
X/2
8%
17.55
X/X
9%
8.54
2/1
7%
19.7
2/2
8%
12.0
2/X
7%
19.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.4pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+12.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hvidovre v HB Koge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY HB Koge EU Bookmakers 15%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
2.09/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.93
+57% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
24.4 Crosses 9.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hvidovre vs HB Koge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HB Koge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.85 xG 0.43
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
440 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.11.2022 HB Koge HB Koge 1-3 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
19.08.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
22.10.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
01.08.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 0-3 HT 0-2 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
19.03.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
11.09.2020 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 2-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1

Hvidovre 1-0 HB Koge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
1-0
AWAY HB Koge
2.52 xG 0.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
412 Passes 238
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
50 Box Touches 4
39 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs HB Koge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre nicked a narrow win over HB Koge 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hvidovre as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hvidovre had 62% of the ball to HB Koge's 38%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.52 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hvidovre's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hvidovre and 0.50 for HB Koge.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs HB Koge?

Hvidovre 1-0 HB Koge in the Denmark 1st Division on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs HB Koge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 60%, draw 20%, HB Koge 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hvidovre), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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