Al Ahly 1-0 Aluminium — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Cup, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.16
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
14%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.29
Over
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
3.05
No
58%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Al Ahly win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
82%
-19.7pp
24%
Draw
13%
+11.2pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
29%
+13.7pp
58%
BTTS No
71%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium The Market 8%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-30% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
1-0
AWAY Aluminium
70% Ball Possession 30%
8 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Aluminium
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly edged past Aluminium 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahly had 70% of the ball to Aluminium's 30%, shots finished 8-1.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Aluminium?

Al Ahly 1-0 Aluminium in the Egypt - Cup on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Aluminium?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 62%, draw 24%, Aluminium 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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