CSMS Iaşi 1-0 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2024

📅19/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 35% vs market 32.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
0.55/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.92
-28% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSMS Iaşi
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Botosani
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Botosani Botosani 2-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
02.02.2024 Botosani Botosani 2-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
18.09.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-1 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
18.01.2021 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-1 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
30.08.2020 Botosani Botosani 4-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
24.02.2020 Botosani Botosani 2-1 HT 0-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSMS Iaşi
1-0
AWAY Botosani
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSMS Iaşi edged past Botosani 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSMS Iaşi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, CSMS Iaşi had 49% of the ball to Botosani's 51%, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botosani led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 2.00 for Botosani.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs Botosani?

CSMS Iaşi 1-0 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division on 19/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSMS Iaşi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 44%, draw 27%, Botosani 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSMS Iaşi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSMS Iaşi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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