Umea FC 1-1 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.65
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
12%
6.75
X/2
10%
5.29
X/X
11%
5.05
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
19%
3.11
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.65 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 46%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
0.82/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.46
-42% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Örebro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.08.2006 Umea FC Umea FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC and Örebro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Örebro?

Umea FC 1-1 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 37%, draw 26%, Örebro 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Örebro), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Örebro) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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