Safa 2-1 Al Ansar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒16:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.04
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
30%
-10.6pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ansar EU Bookmakers 42%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/0.96
-100% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Safa
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ansar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.06.2025 Safa Safa 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ansar Al Ansar LUBN
07.05.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 1-0 HT 0-0 Safa Safa LUBN
14.03.2025 Al Ansar Al Ansar 1-1 HT 1-0 Safa Safa LUBN
POST-MATCH Safa vs Al Ansar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa nicked a narrow win over Al Ansar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ansar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Ansar led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Safa and 1.33 for Al Ansar.

What was the final score of Safa vs Al Ansar?

Safa 2-1 Al Ansar in the Lebanon - Premier League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Al Ansar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Safa 36%, draw 19%, Al Ansar 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ansar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ansar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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