IFK Varnamo 2-3 Ljungskile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 19 Jul 2026

IFK Varnamo
2-3 HT 0-1
Ljungskile
📅19/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
2.95
6+ Goals
14%
9.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.11
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
17%
5.34
X/2
16%
6.58
X/X
13%
4.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.95
2/2
18%
4.3
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.95 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Ljungskile — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.94/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.13
-44% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ljungskile
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
29.09.2019 Ljungskile Ljungskile 3-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ3
02.10.2016 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
10.04.2016 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-2 HT 0-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ2
04.10.2015 Ljungskile Ljungskile 0-2 HT 0-2 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
07.04.2015 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 0-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ2
29.09.2014 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-4 HT 0-4 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ljungskile edged past IFK Varnamo 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ljungskile found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ljungskile led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IFK Varnamo and 2.00 for Ljungskile.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile?

IFK Varnamo 2-3 Ljungskile in the Sweden - Superettan on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ljungskile win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 34%, draw 27%, Ljungskile 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ljungskile), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ljungskile) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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