Orsha 2-2 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 19 Jul 2026

📅19/07/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
6.35
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
72%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
13%
-1.1pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.7pp
72%
Away Win
67%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 71%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -86% / -86%
0.57/5.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-24% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -76%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
260 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2021 Orsha Orsha 1-2 HT 0-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR1
18.06.2021 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
18.07.2020 Orsha Orsha 0-2 HT 0-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
2-2
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha and Naftan Novopolotsk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Naftan Novopolotsk at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Naftan Novopolotsk led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orsha and 2.33 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Orsha 2-2 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Cup on 19/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naftan Novopolotsk win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Orsha 12%, draw 16%, Naftan Novopolotsk 72%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naftan Novopolotsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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