SSC Farul 3-2 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.86/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.52
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Hermannstadt
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.03 xG 2.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-1 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
15.07.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
10.12.2022 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 4-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
15.08.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
3-2
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.92 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
391 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul nicked a narrow win over Hermannstadt 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SSC Farul as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, SSC Farul had 52% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 48%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.92 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for SSC Farul and 1.25 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Hermannstadt?

SSC Farul 3-2 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 48%, draw 25%, Hermannstadt 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SSC Farul), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✓ BTTS Yes
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