IF Karlstad 2-1 Umea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
2-1
AWAY Umea
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Umea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad nicked a narrow win over Umea 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IF Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 55% of the ball to Umea's 45%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Umea?

IF Karlstad 2-1 Umea in the Sweden - Cup on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Umea?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 50%, draw 21%, Umea 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✗ Under 2.5
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