Nijerya 2-0 Kongo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Championship, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
27%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-6.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongo EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijerya
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kongo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.11.2014 Kongo Kongo 0-2 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
06.09.2014 Nijerya Nijerya 2-3 HT 1-2 Kongo Kongo AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya
2-0
AWAY Kongo
1.10 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
262 Passes 171
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
13 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nijerya vs Kongo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya saw off Kongo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Nijerya made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Nijerya had 58% of the ball to Kongo's 42%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.10 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nijerya and 1.50 for Kongo.

What was the final score of Nijerya vs Kongo?

Nijerya 2-0 Kongo in the Afrika Uluslar Championship on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Kongo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 30%, draw 31%, Kongo 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kongo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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