Marchamalo 0-0 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
17%
4.95
Away Pick
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.63
Over
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
23%
5.64
2-3
43%
2.0
4-5
27%
2.43
6+
7%
5.24
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.64 — our 23% vs market 12.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
CD Guadalajara win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.5pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.1pp
59%
Away Win
70%
-11.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marchamalo The Market 16%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara The Market 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marchamalo
0-0
AWAY CD Guadalajara
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marchamalo and CD Guadalajara played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had CD Guadalajara at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Marchamalo had 40% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 60%, shots finished 3-11.

What was the final score of Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara?

Marchamalo 0-0 CD Guadalajara in the Friendlies on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Marchamalo 24%, draw 17%, CD Guadalajara 59%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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