Sao Paulo vs Bolivar Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Copa Sudamericana, 19 Aug 2026

Sao Paulo
vs
Bolivar
📅19/08/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Sao Paulo vs Bolivar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Sao Paulo v Bolivar — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Sao Paulo vs Bolivar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bolivar
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.67 xG 1.14
11 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
227 Passes 477
9 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
12.08.2026 Bolivar Bolivar 1-1 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo CSA
31.01.2013 Bolivar Bolivar 4-3 HT 1-3 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU
24.01.2013 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 5-0 HT 3-0 Bolivar Bolivar LKU
COMMENT Sao Paulo vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Bolivar have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 4 away league games.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.67 for Bolivar.

When do Sao Paulo and Bolivar play?

Sao Paulo play Bolivar in the Copa Sudamericana on 19/08/2026, kick-off 03:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Sao Paulo vs Bolivar?

Our model's prediction for Sao Paulo vs Bolivar is a Sao Paulo win at about 60% probability, priced 1.43 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Sao Paulo 60%, draw 21%, Bolivar 19%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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