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Sporting CP (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP (K) v Real Madrid (K) — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid (K) edged past Sporting CP (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Sporting CP (K) had 45% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 55%, shots finished 6-10.
What was the final score of Sporting CP (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Sporting CP (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP (K) 27%, draw 24%, Real Madrid (K) 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.