St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 3-0 ZNK Mura (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.51
Over
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
36%
4-5
28%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-14.0pp
16%
Draw
14%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY ZNK Mura (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +86% / +86%
1.28/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-61% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +48%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
3-0
AWAY ZNK Mura (K)
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs ZNK Mura (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) cruised past ZNK Mura (K) 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) had 64% of the ball to ZNK Mura (K)'s 36%, shots finished 22-5.

What was the final score of St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs ZNK Mura (K)?

St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 3-0 ZNK Mura (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs ZNK Mura (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 63%, draw 16%, ZNK Mura (K) 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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