S. Diego Wave (K) 3-2 Thorns (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONK, 19 Sep 2024

S. Diego Wave (K)
3-2 HT 0-1
Thorns (K)
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
CONK – 2025/2026

S. Diego Wave (K) vs Thorns (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.95
Over
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

S. Diego Wave (K) v Thorns (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME S. Diego Wave (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Thorns (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH S. Diego Wave (K) vs Thorns (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

S. Diego Wave (K) nicked a narrow win over Thorns (K) 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; S. Diego Wave (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of S. Diego Wave (K) vs Thorns (K)?

S. Diego Wave (K) 3-2 Thorns (K) in the CONK on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for S. Diego Wave (K) vs Thorns (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thorns (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split S. Diego Wave (K) 34%, draw 31%, Thorns (K) 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thorns (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thorns (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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