Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gürcitan Cup, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.0pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
08.04.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
28.11.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 6-2 HT 5-2 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
24.09.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
04.07.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GURCSK
28.05.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-0
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi squeezed past Dinamo Batumi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dinamo Tbilisi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 43% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 57%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.83 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 Dinamo Batumi in the Gürcitan Cup on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 33%, draw 31%, Dinamo Batumi 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Batumi), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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