Jarun 1-2 Rudes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 19 Sep 2024

Jarun
1-2 HT 1-1
Rudes
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
50%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudes EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-2
AWAY Rudes
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Rudes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudes nicked a narrow win over Jarun 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rudes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jarun had 36% of the ball to Rudes's 64%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Rudes?

Jarun 1-2 Rudes in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Rudes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rudes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jarun 26%, draw 24%, Rudes 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rudes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rudes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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