Al Orubah 1-0 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +11%
1.24/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.51
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 17.2
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Orubah
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
293 Passes 265
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
15.05.2015 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
20.12.2014 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
17.01.2014 Al Orubah Al Orubah 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Orubah
1-0
AWAY Al Fateh
1.02 xG 0.87
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
240 Passes 523
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Orubah vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Orubah nicked a narrow win over Al Fateh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Al Orubah made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Orubah had 35% of the ball to Al Fateh's 65%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.02 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Orubah and 1.33 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Orubah vs Al Fateh?

Al Orubah 1-0 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Orubah vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Orubah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Orubah 39%, draw 25%, Al Fateh 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Orubah), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Orubah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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