San Diego Wave (K) 3-2 Portland Thorns (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uluslararası Women's Şampiyonlar Cup, 19 Sep 2024

San Diego Wave (K)
3-2
Portland Thorns (K)
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Uluslararası Women's Şampiyonlar Cup – 2024/2025

San Diego Wave (K) vs Portland Thorns (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.95
Over
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

San Diego Wave (K) v Portland Thorns (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Diego Wave (K) The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Thorns (K) The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH San Diego Wave (K) vs Portland Thorns (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Diego Wave (K) squeezed past Portland Thorns (K) 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; San Diego Wave (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of San Diego Wave (K) vs Portland Thorns (K)?

San Diego Wave (K) 3-2 Portland Thorns (K) in the Uluslararası Women's Şampiyonlar Cup on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Diego Wave (K) vs Portland Thorns (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portland Thorns (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split San Diego Wave (K) 34%, draw 31%, Portland Thorns (K) 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Thorns (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Thorns (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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