Östersunds FK 3-0 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 19 Sep 2025

Östersunds FK
3-0 HT 1-0
Umea FC
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2026

Östersunds FK vs Umea FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.1
X/1
18%
4.29
X/2
5%
9.37
X/X
13%
6.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.0
2/2
11%
6.88
2/X
5%
15.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v Umea FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.75/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.60
+6% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
473 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Östersunds FK vs Umea FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Umea FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Umea FC Umea FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK cruised past Umea FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Östersunds FK as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Umea FC?

Östersunds FK 3-0 Umea FC in the Sweden - Superettan on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 57%, draw 22%, Umea FC 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östersunds FK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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