Al Hamriyah 4-2 Gulf United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf United EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.07/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.45
+29% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Gulf United
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2025 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 3-3 Gulf United BAE2
27.10.2024 Gulf United 1-4 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
30.05.2024 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 3-0 HT 0-0 Gulf United BAE2
20.01.2024 Gulf United 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hamriyah
4-2
AWAY Gulf United
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Gulf United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah beat Gulf United 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hamriyah as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Hamriyah had 56% of the ball to Gulf United's 44%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Hamriyah had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Al Hamriyah and 1.25 for Gulf United.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Gulf United?

Al Hamriyah 4-2 Gulf United in the UAE - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Gulf United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hamriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 50%, draw 26%, Gulf United 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hamriyah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hamriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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