Al Wahda 5-2 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 19 Sep 2025

Al Wahda
5-2 HT 3-1
Al Dhafra
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Wahda vs Al Dhafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.74
Over 2.5
50%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.76
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
23%
2.42
6+ Goals
10%
5.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.76 — our 27% vs market 11.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.2pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.8pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
33%
+16.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
67%
-16.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Wahda v Al Dhafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
2.07/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.08
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
23.3 Crosses 12.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

Al Wahda vs Al Dhafra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wahda
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Dhafra
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 1.21
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
489 Passes 225
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
25.10.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 4-2 HT 3-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
22.04.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
29.10.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
16.03.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
01.12.2020 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE

Al Wahda 5-2 Al Dhafra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wahda
5-2
AWAY Al Dhafra
2.35 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
382 Passes 298
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 12
6 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wahda vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda ran out comfortable winners over Al Dhafra 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Wahda as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wahda had 51% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 49%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.35 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wahda had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Al Wahda and 1.17 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Al Wahda vs Al Dhafra?

Al Wahda 5-2 Al Dhafra in the UAE - League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wahda vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wahda win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Al Wahda 68%, draw 17%, Al Dhafra 15%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wahda) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wahda) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
19 Sep 2025
19:15 Baniyas SC vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Analysis →