Montana 1-2 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montana EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montana
1-2
AWAY Spartak Varna
65% Ball Possession 35%
28 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montana vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Varna nicked a narrow win over Montana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Montana at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Montana had 65% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 35%, shots finished 28-8.

What was the final score of Montana vs Spartak Varna?

Montana 1-2 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montana vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Montana 50%, draw 23%, Spartak Varna 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montana), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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