Boulogne 0-3 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 19 Sep 2025

Boulogne
0-3 HT 0-3
Pau
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Boulogne vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
23.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.78
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
10%
5.3
X/2
12%
5.64
X/X
10%
3.92
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
13%
4.15
2/X
10%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boulogne v Pau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.02/2.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.92
-21% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
– Crosses 21.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Boulogne vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Pau
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
The Meetings
20.12.2019 Boulogne Boulogne 0-0 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR3

Boulogne 0-3 Pau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
0-3
AWAY Pau
0.45 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
343 Passes 429
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau swept aside Boulogne 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Pau made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Boulogne had 46% of the ball to Pau's 54%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.45 to 1.42.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Pau?

Boulogne 0-3 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 39%, draw 26%, Pau 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Under 2.5
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