Marsilya (K) 1-2 Le Havre (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 19 Sep 2025

Marsilya (K)
1-2 HT 1-2
Le Havre (K)
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Marsilya (K) vs Le Havre (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.86
Over 2.5
58%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.7
No
39%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
55%
+6.1pp
39%
BTTS No
45%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marsilya (K) v Le Havre (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
– Crosses 18.3
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Marsilya (K) 1-2 Le Havre (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsilya (K)
1-2
AWAY Le Havre (K)
2.20 xG 1.52
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
409 Passes 161
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Marsilya (K) vs Le Havre (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) nicked a narrow win over Marsilya (K) 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Marsilya (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marsilya (K) had 67% of the ball to Le Havre (K)'s 33%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.20 to 1.52 — on chances, Marsilya (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Marsilya (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Marsilya (K) 1-2 Le Havre (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsilya (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marsilya (K) 41%, draw 26%, Le Havre (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marsilya (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsilya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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