Al Najaf 0-1 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.42/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.02
-67% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najaf
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Diala
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.05.2025 Diala Diala 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Najaf Al Najaf IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Najaf vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala nicked a narrow win over Al Najaf 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najaf at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Diala?

Al Najaf 0-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 44%, draw 28%, Diala 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Najaf), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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