19/09/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al Najaf vs Diala Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
28%
Draw
27%
28%
Away Win
24%
53%
Under 2.5
59%
47%
Over 2.5
41%
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
47%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Najaf v Diala — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Najaf
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Diala
EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+11% /
+11%
0.42/0.58
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.51/1.02
-67%
/
+63%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-55%
/
+5%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
297 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
274 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Najaf vs Diala Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Najaf
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Diala
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Najaf vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Diala nicked a narrow win over Al Najaf 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Al Najaf at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Al Najaf vs Diala?
Al Najaf 0-1 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Najaf vs Diala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Najaf 44%, draw 28%, Diala 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Najaf), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Najaf)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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19 Sep 2025