Portadown FC 1-4 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
3.07
6+ Goals
7%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 34% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.29
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
17%
4.18
X/2
8%
8.24
X/X
12%
5.6
2/1
5%
21.3
2/2
16%
6.33
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bangor FC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2024 Bangor FC Bangor FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
03.02.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRK
18.11.2023 Bangor FC Bangor FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
25.08.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Bangor FC Bangor FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC swept aside Portadown FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Portadown FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portadown FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Portadown FC and 1.00 for Bangor FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Bangor FC?

Portadown FC 1-4 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 48%, draw 24%, Bangor FC 28%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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