AD Marco 09 1-0 O Elvas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 19 Sep 2025

AD Marco 09
1-0 HT 0-0
O Elvas
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2025/2026

AD Marco 09 vs O Elvas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AD Marco 09 v O Elvas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY O Elvas EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

AD Marco 09 vs O Elvas Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AD Marco 09
0W-1D-0L
AWAY O Elvas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.09.2024 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 0-0 O Elvas O Elvas POK

AD Marco 09 1-0 O Elvas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
1-0
AWAY O Elvas
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AD Marco 09 vs O Elvas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AD Marco 09 squeezed past O Elvas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AD Marco 09 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 64% of the ball to O Elvas's 36%, shots finished 22-7.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs O Elvas?

AD Marco 09 1-0 O Elvas in the Portugal - Cup on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs O Elvas?

Before kick-off our model rated a AD Marco 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 43%, draw 31%, O Elvas 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AD Marco 09), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AD Marco 09) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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