Stal Mielec 1-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

Stal Mielec
1 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Stal Mielec vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.21
Over
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.51
No
39%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.2
2-3
45%
1.82
4-5
28%
2.74
6+
8%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Stal Mielec v Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Stal Mielec The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki The Market 36%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.47 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
1.35 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
Weak Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Bad
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards 2

Stal Mielec 1-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
1 - 2
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Stal Mielec vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki squeezed past Stal Mielec 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We leaned Stal Mielec at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in Stal Mielec's favour, shots finished 11-16.

Stal Mielec vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Result & Final Score

Stal Mielec 1 - 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stal Mielec vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 42%, draw 25%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Mielec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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