Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
Wisla Plock v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Wisla Plock 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok edged past Wisla Plock 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Jagiellonia Bialystok found the edge the numbers couldn't.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Jagiellonia Bialystok saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.25 to 1.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Wisla Plock against 2.00 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Result & Final Score
Wisla Plock 0 - 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 40%, draw 28%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wisla Plock), BTTS Yes went the other way.