Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 Samorin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.88
No
39%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
11%
Away Win
12%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
49%
+11.6pp
39%
BTTS No
51%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Samorin EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
2.41/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.86
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
383 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Samorin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
12.03.2022 Samorin Samorin 0-1 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK2
21.08.2021 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-1 HT 0-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
08.05.2021 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-1 HT 0-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
29.11.2020 Samorin Samorin 0-1 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
3-1
AWAY Samorin
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Samorin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Banska Bystrica beat Samorin 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dukla Banska Bystrica as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Dukla Banska Bystrica had 48% of the ball to Samorin's 52%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dukla Banska Bystrica had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dukla Banska Bystrica and 0.50 for Samorin.

What was the final score of Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Samorin?

Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 Samorin in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Samorin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Banska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Dukla Banska Bystrica 65%, draw 23%, Samorin 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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