Sagan Tosu 1-3 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 19 Sep 2026

Sagan Tosu
1 - 3 HT 0 - 0
Iwaki
📅19/09/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.67
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
4.07
6+
4%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sagan Tosu The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Iwaki The Market 29%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.80 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
1.06 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
Average Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagan Tosu
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Iwaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
194 Passes 257
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 1-0 HT 1-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
09.03.2025 Iwaki Iwaki 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP2
REVIEW Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Iwaki put daylight between themselves and Sagan Tosu 3-1 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

A gentle 47% lean on Sagan Tosu didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sagan Tosu had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagan Tosu and 0.50 for Iwaki.

Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki Result & Final Score

Sagan Tosu 1 - 3 Iwaki in the Japan - J2 League on 19/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sagan Tosu vs Iwaki Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagan Tosu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 47%, draw 29%, Iwaki 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sagan Tosu) ✗ Under 2.5
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