Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 Manchester United (K) — Result, Stats & Model Review (England - Women's Premier League, 19 Oct 2024)

Brighton & Hove Albion (K)

1-1

Manchester United (K)

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗

England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

31%

3.29

Draw

23%

3.64

Away

46%

1.89

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42%

2.03

Over 2.5

58%

1.71

Both Teams to Score

Yes

58%

1.66

42%

2.09

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

23%

2-3 Goals

41%

4-5 Goals

26%

6+ Goals

10%

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

19%

1/2

1/X

X/1

X/2

14%

X/X

2/1

2/2

24%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

31%

Home Win

27%

+3.9pp

23%

Draw

24%

-0.8pp

46%

Away Win

49%

-3.1pp

42%

Under 2.5

45%

-3.8pp

58%

Over 2.5

55%

+3.8pp

58%

BTTS Yes

56%

+1.6pp

42%

BTTS No

44%

-1.6pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) v Manchester United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 30%

Head to Head

AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 53%

-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -70% / -70%

1.22/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/3.02

+47% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +18%

49% Ball Possession 51%

12 Total Shots 14

4 Shots on Target 6

5 Corners 4

315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%

21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0

16.4 Crosses 14.0

1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)

0W-1D-3L

AWAY Manchester United (K)

0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00

0.19 xG 2.83

42% Ball Possession 58%

5 Total Shots 15

3 Shots on Target 6

2 Corners 10

292 Passes 411

76% Pass Accuracy 82%

14 Box Touches 25

8 Crosses 24

2 Yellow Cards 0

The Meetings

09.03.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K)

0-4 HT 0-3

Manchester United (K) İNKFAK

04.02.2024 Manchester United (K)

2-0 HT 1-0

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL

05.11.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion (K)

2-2 HT 1-0

Manchester United (K) İNKPL

24.11.2019 Manchester United (K)

4-0 HT 2-0

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 Manchester United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)

1-1

AWAY Manchester United (K)

51% Ball Possession 49%

4 Total Shots 12

3 Shots on Target 6

5 Corners 6

POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester United (K)

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and Manchester United (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 51% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 49%, shots finished 4-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manchester United (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and 3.00 for Manchester United (K).

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 31%, draw 23%, Manchester United (K) 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester United (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes

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