Varbergs GIF 4-2 IK Tord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Tord EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
2.10/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.03
-9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs GIF
2W-1D-2L
AWAY IK Tord
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.06.2024 IK Tord IK Tord 0-2 HT 0-2 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
19.08.2023 IK Tord IK Tord 1-1 HT 0-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
22.04.2023 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Tord IK Tord İSÇ4
21.08.2021 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 2-1 HT 1-0 IK Tord IK Tord İSÇ4
20.06.2021 IK Tord IK Tord 3-1 HT 2-1 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Varbergs GIF vs IK Tord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs GIF saw off IK Tord 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Varbergs GIF as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Varbergs GIF and 1.20 for IK Tord.

What was the final score of Varbergs GIF vs IK Tord?

Varbergs GIF 4-2 IK Tord in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs GIF vs IK Tord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs GIF win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Varbergs GIF 59%, draw 21%, IK Tord 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs GIF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs GIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Franke vs Farsta Analysis →
00:00 Viggbyholms IK vs Jarfalla Analysis →
00:00 Qviding FIF vs Öckerö Analysis →
00:00 Kristianstads FF vs Nosaby IF Analysis →
00:00 Karlshamn vs Rappe Analysis →
00:00 Lucksta vs Frösö Analysis →