Sampdoria (K) 0-0 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.82
No
65%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
51%
-15.7pp
65%
BTTS No
49%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.26/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/1.94
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
15.6 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Napoli (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.12 xG 0.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
211 Passes 230
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
30.03.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
20.01.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
0-0
AWAY Napoli (K)
0.77 xG 0.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
331 Passes 212
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
14 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria (K) and Napoli (K) fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sampdoria (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 58% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 42%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.77 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sampdoria (K) and 0.67 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 0-0 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 42%, draw 24%, Napoli (K) 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sampdoria (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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