Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Real Sociedad (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 19 Oct 2024

Atletico Madrid (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Real Sociedad (K)
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar – 2024

Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Sociedad (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
53%
-20.0pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.6pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+10.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid (K) v Real Sociedad (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.28/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.48
-3% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
22.8 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Real Sociedad (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1-0
AWAY Real Sociedad (K)
0.41 xG 0.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
331 Passes 331
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 50% of the ball to Real Sociedad (K)'s 50%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.41 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Real Sociedad (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Real Sociedad (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Sociedad (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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