La Massana 1-1 Esperança dAndorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over Pick
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
32%
4-5
28%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Massana The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Esperança dAndorra The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Massana
1-1
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
POST-MATCH La Massana vs Esperança dAndorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Massana and Esperança dAndorra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, La Massana had 35% of the ball to Esperança dAndorra's 65%, shots finished 11-19.

What was the final score of La Massana vs Esperança dAndorra?

La Massana 1-1 Esperança dAndorra in the Andorra - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Massana vs Esperança dAndorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Massana win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split La Massana 34%, draw 32%, Esperança dAndorra 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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