Westerlo 1-2 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
15%
8.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.45
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
11%
7.9
X/2
14%
4.56
X/X
13%
5.58
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.48
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.45 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.98/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.18
+68% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
16.6 Crosses 22.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club Brugge
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.57 xG 2.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 8
259 Passes 499
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
06.08.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
15.04.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
08.10.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-2 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
17.02.2017 Westerlo Westerlo 1-2 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
26.10.2016 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-0 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-2
AWAY Club Brugge
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge nicked a narrow win over Westerlo 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Westerlo had 40% of the ball to Club Brugge's 60%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Westerlo and 1.67 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Club Brugge?

Westerlo 1-2 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 31%, draw 25%, Club Brugge 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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