Esbjerg 0-3 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

Esbjerg
0-3 HT 0-1
FC Fredericia
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.63
Over Pick
64%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1
19%
6.37
2-3
36%
2.11
4-5
28%
2.53
6+
17%
5.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.8
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1
9%
5.44
X/2
11%
7.19
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
15%
4.12
2/X
6%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.4pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v FC Fredericia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +37%
1.35/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.82
-3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
21.9 Crosses 11.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 2.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
298 Passes 284
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2024 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 4-0 HT 4-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
23.10.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
17.08.2021 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-0 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
10.05.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
21.02.2021 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-1 HT 0-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
31.10.2020 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1

Esbjerg 0-3 FC Fredericia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esbjerg
0-3
AWAY FC Fredericia
0.49 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
421 Passes 465
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia cruised past Esbjerg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Esbjerg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Esbjerg had 48% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 52%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.49 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Esbjerg and 1.67 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia?

Esbjerg 0-3 FC Fredericia in the Denmark 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 46%, draw 23%, FC Fredericia 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Esbjerg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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