Amiens SC 3-1 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.69
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.45
X/1
15%
3.93
X/2
7%
8.15
X/X
17%
3.64
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
8%
7.31
2/X
5%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.3pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.43/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.16
-15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
21.5 Crosses 14.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Ajaccio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
26.09.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
19.01.2022 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
31.07.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 3-1 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
24.04.2021 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-2 HT 1-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
22.12.2020 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
3-1
AWAY Ajaccio
2.39 xG 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
253 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC got the better of Ajaccio 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amiens SC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amiens SC had 42% of the ball to Ajaccio's 58%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.39 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Amiens SC and 1.00 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Ajaccio?

Amiens SC 3-1 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 50%, draw 30%, Ajaccio 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amiens SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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