Guingamp (K) 3-2 Strasbourg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+9.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.7pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Strasbourg (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+104% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.4 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp (K)
3-2
AWAY Strasbourg (K)
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Guingamp (K) vs Strasbourg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp (K) edged past Strasbourg (K) 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Strasbourg (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Guingamp (K) had 42% of the ball to Strasbourg (K)'s 58%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Guingamp (K) vs Strasbourg (K)?

Guingamp (K) 3-2 Strasbourg (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp (K) vs Strasbourg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Strasbourg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guingamp (K) 35%, draw 22%, Strasbourg (K) 43%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Strasbourg (K))
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