Wofoo Tai Po 1-0 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.7pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wofoo Tai Po EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 51%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.49/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.59
+70% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wofoo Tai Po
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kitchee
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.82 xG 1.59
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
272 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 0-0 HT 0-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
19.08.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 3-0 HT 1-0 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
19.03.2023 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 2-1 HT 1-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
20.11.2022 Kitchee Kitchee 4-0 HT 1-0 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
19.10.2019 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 1-1 HT 1-0 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
19.06.2019 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 3-3 HT 1-2 Kitchee Kitchee AFCŞL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wofoo Tai Po
1-0
AWAY Kitchee
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wofoo Tai Po squeezed past Kitchee 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kitchee at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wofoo Tai Po had 32% of the ball to Kitchee's 68%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wofoo Tai Po and 2.00 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee?

Wofoo Tai Po 1-0 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wofoo Tai Po vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wofoo Tai Po 28%, draw 26%, Kitchee 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kitchee) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Under 2.5
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