Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-1 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.4pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.1pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / -76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Sittard (K) Fortuna Sittard (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
1-1
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard (K) and Heerenveen (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Sittard (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard (K) had 47% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 53%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-1 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard (K) 50%, draw 28%, Heerenveen (K) 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
19 Oct 2024
15:00 PSV Eindhoven (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Analysis →
17:30 AZ (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Analysis →