Sepsi 1-0 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

Sepsi
1-0 HT 1-0
UTA Arad
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Romania - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Sepsi vs UTA Arad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sepsi v UTA Arad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
2.01/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.48
+17% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.4 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sepsi vs UTA Arad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY UTA Arad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
396 Passes 183
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
04.09.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
02.12.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-4 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
07.08.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 0-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
16.04.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
05.02.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM

Sepsi 1-0 UTA Arad — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
1-0
AWAY UTA Arad
1.03 xG 0.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
398 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi nicked a narrow win over UTA Arad 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sepsi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sepsi had 54% of the ball to UTA Arad's 46%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.03 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sepsi and 0.67 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs UTA Arad?

Sepsi 1-0 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 44%, draw 29%, UTA Arad 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepsi), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ Under 2.5
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