19/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
FC Sochi vs FK Rodina Moskva Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
26%
Draw
25%
26%
Away Win
22%
51%
Under 2.5
53%
49%
Over 2.5
47%
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
47%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Sochi v FK Rodina Moskva — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Sochi
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
FK Rodina Moskva
EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% /
-1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+44% /
+44%
0.98/0.49
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.66/0.70
-38%
/
+53%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+84%
/
+90%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
389 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
308 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.6
FAQ
FC Sochi vs FK Rodina Moskva
Match summary & frequently asked questions
FC Sochi edged past FK Rodina Moskva 1-0 in the Russia - FNL on 19 Oct 2024.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of FC Sochi vs FK Rodina Moskva?
FC Sochi 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs FK Rodina Moskva?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 48%, draw 26%, FK Rodina Moskva 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FC Sochi)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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19 Oct 2024