OFK Beograd 1-1 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 22%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.24/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.50
+54% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 70%
10.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.0 Crosses 17.7
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
01.03.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
1-1
AWAY Spartak Subotica
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFK Beograd and Spartak Subotica shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was OFK Beograd at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 54% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 46%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?

OFK Beograd 1-1 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 51%, draw 24%, Spartak Subotica 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✗ BTTS No
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