Bistrica 1-1 Bilje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bilje EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -3%
2.19/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.18
+43% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bilje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 4-3 HT 1-1 Bilje SLVN2
27.11.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 1-2 HT 1-0 Bilje SLVN2
13.08.2022 Bilje 2-1 HT 2-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
1-1
AWAY Bilje
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Bilje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica and Bilje couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bistrica had 55% of the ball to Bilje's 45%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bilje led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bistrica and 2.33 for Bilje.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Bilje?

Bistrica 1-1 Bilje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Bilje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 40%, draw 30%, Bilje 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bistrica), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bistrica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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