Benfica U23 5-1 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
22%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+109% / -77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
29.08.2023 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 3-1 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
5-1
AWAY Santa Clara U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 10
15 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 ran out comfortable winners over Santa Clara U23 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica U23 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 55% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 45%, shots finished 19-10.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Benfica U23 5-1 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 48%, draw 22%, Santa Clara U23 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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