Landskrona 1-3 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.14
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
11%
9.55
X/X
8%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.55
2/2
7%
7.44
2/X
5%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.55 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Landskrona EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.41/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.03
-17% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Landskrona
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Umea FC
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
03.05.2025 Umea FC Umea FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
21.07.2012 Landskrona Landskrona 2-1 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
02.07.2012 Umea FC Umea FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
02.10.2006 Landskrona Landskrona 2-1 HT 2-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ2
17.06.2006 Umea FC Umea FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Landskrona vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC got the better of Landskrona 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Landskrona at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Landskrona had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Landskrona and 1.20 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of Landskrona vs Umea FC?

Landskrona 1-3 Umea FC in the Sweden - Superettan on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Landskrona vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Landskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Landskrona 56%, draw 20%, Umea FC 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Landskrona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Landskrona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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